Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 16°C in Ankara on March 15.

With a market probability of 95.15% for NO, participants largely expect the highest temperature to remain below 16°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a strong consensus against higher temperatures. Confidence levels are moderate, suggesting some uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a 1.5 edge.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 The Pulse AI probability shows slight optimism for higher temperatures at 6.35%.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.