Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 16?

Market predicts Ankara's temperature will not reach 16°C on March 16.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Ankara will remain below 16°C on March 16, with a 97.2% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 4.3%, indicating some uncertainty but overall confidence in the market's pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a strong belief in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the 'NO' outcome.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with a fair pricing edge.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.