Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 18°C in Ankara on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 18°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating low confidence in the possibility of higher temperatures on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 18°C.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market expectations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.