Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Ankara on March 18.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Ankara will not reach 19°C on March 18, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1% for this event, indicating alignment with market sentiment. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market probabilities.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March in Ankara supports lower temperatures.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect the urgency of market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.