Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 20°C in Ankara on March 18.

With a market probability of 99.95% for a NO outcome, there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not reach 20°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty, indicating a low likelihood of warmer weather on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 20°C.
• 2 The high NO probability suggests strong confidence in cooler weather predictions.
• 3 Historical data may support lower temperature trends for this time of year.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.