Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors that Ankara's temperature will not reach 3°C on March 19.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Ankara will not be 3°C on March 19, with a low AI probability of 2% for a YES outcome. This suggests a strong consensus against the temperature reaching that level, and the market appears to be fairly priced given the current confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 AI model suggests a low likelihood of a YES outcome at 2%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 The edge of 2 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 6 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.