Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 4°C in Ankara on March 29.

The prediction market shows a significant probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 4°C in Ankara on March 29, with a corresponding low probability of 0.05% for temperatures at or below that threshold. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a strong consensus against the likelihood of colder temperatures. Given the high confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures above 4°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a similar trend with 99% probability for NO.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong market conviction.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.