Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 10?

The market strongly predicts that Ankara's temperature will not reach 7°C on March 10.

The current market probability indicates a 100% belief that the highest temperature in Ankara will not be 7°C on March 10. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a 99% probability for 'NO', suggesting a strong consensus among participants. Given the edge of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced based on the available data.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 7°C.
• 2 Forecast models currently do not support a rise to 7°C.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March in Ankara suggests lower averages.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates strong confidence in the current predictions.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.