Market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 9°C in Ankara on March 22.
The prediction market indicates a high probability (98.35%) that the highest temperature in Ankara will not reach 9°C on March 22. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 32 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.