Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 92°F in Austin on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.9% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 92°F. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 92°F.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.10%.
• 3 Market pricing appears fair with an edge of 0.9.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, affecting the immediacy of market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.