Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C or below on March 24?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Beijing will exceed 15°C on March 24.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Beijing will be above 15°C on March 24, indicating a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal uncertainty. With 17 hours until expiry and a confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures being 15°C or below.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests very low chances for a cooler outcome.
• 3 The confidence level indicates strong belief in the current prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant market shifts.
• 5 Current market pricing reflects a balanced assessment of temperature forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.