Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C or below on March 28?

The market strongly predicts temperatures will exceed 16°C in Beijing on March 28.

Current market data shows a 100% probability for temperatures in Beijing to be above 16°C on March 28, indicating strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal uncertainty in the forecast. Given the edge score of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market consensus indicates a high likelihood of temperatures above 16°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance of temperatures being 16°C or below.
• 3 Confidence level is strong at 80/100, reflecting market stability.
• 4 The edge score of 1 suggests fair pricing without significant misalignment.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding some uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.