Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts that Beijing's temperature won't reach 19°C on March 29.

The prediction market shows a definitive NO at 100% probability for the highest temperature in Beijing being 19°C on March 29. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99% for NO, indicating strong consensus against the event occurring.

• 1 Market consensus is heavily against the temperature reaching 19°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows minimal probability for a YES outcome at 1%.
• 3 Current confidence level is high at 80/100.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry for the prediction is currently unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.