Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 20°C in Beijing on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 20°C. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, indicating a strong likelihood of lower temperatures. Confidence is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty despite the prevailing sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 20°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for late March in Beijing supports cooler temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 3 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.