Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Beijing's temperature on March 30.

The prediction market shows a 99.6% probability for a NO outcome, indicating a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 21°C. The Pulse AI also aligns with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. With only three hours until expiry, the current probabilities appear fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability also indicates a strong NO at 99%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 3 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 0.6.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.