Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 22°C in Beijing on March 24.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Beijing will not reach 22°C on March 24. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of this temperature being met. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 22°C.
• 2 The consensus indicates a low likelihood of reaching the specified temperature.
• 3 Market pricing suggests no significant mispricing at this time.
• 4 Weather forecasts remain critical in influencing market perceptions.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.