Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Beijing's temperature on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.85% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 23°C in Beijing on March 28. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome. The edge of 0.85 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of a YES outcome is very low at 0.15%.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction closely mirrors the market, reinforcing confidence in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 0.85 indicates the market is likely well-informed and fairly priced.
• 5 With only hours until expiry, time pressure may limit significant shifts in probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.