Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 24°C in Beijing on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not hit 24°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting a low likelihood of this temperature being reached, indicating a well-priced market.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 24°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability indicates a slight chance of YES at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 3 hours, limiting potential shifts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.