Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 24°C in Beijing on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 24°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for 'YES' at 1%, indicating strong confidence in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 24°C.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 4 The time to expiry for this market is currently unknown.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show lower temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.