Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Beijing on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 25°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting a low likelihood of this temperature being met. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 25°C.
• 2 Market probability suggests a strong belief in cooler weather.
• 3 Historical weather data for March supports lower temperature expectations.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.