Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Beijing on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for a NO outcome, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 25°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 25°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of exceeding 25°C.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, impacting potential volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.