Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Beijing's temperature on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 26°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting limited expectations for a higher temperature on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests low likelihood of reaching 26°C in late March.
• 3 Market appears to be fairly priced with a small edge of 0.95.
• 4 Liquidity in this market is low, reflecting limited betting interest.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.