Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or higher on March 27?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 26°C in Beijing on March 27.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.7% for temperatures being below 26°C in Beijing on March 27. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a strong consensus against reaching the 26°C threshold. With only 2 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.7.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 26°C.
• 2 The time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant market shifts.
• 3 Market probability suggests a high confidence in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 0.7 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 Historical weather trends in Beijing during late March support lower temperature expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.