Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 31°C in Beijing on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 31°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a strong belief in cooler conditions for that date.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures below 31°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a temperature spike.
• 3 Current edge suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal arbitrage opportunities.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.