Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 21°C in Buenos Aires on March 28.

With a market probability of 98.35% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 21°C. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 3.15%. The confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 21°C.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, which may affect market dynamics.
• 5 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for YES than the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.