Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors that Buenos Aires will not reach 30°C on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not hit 30°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low likelihood of reaching that temperature. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability of reaching 30°C is extremely low according to market data.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in March may support the current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in the pricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect future market adjustments.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.