Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?

High temperatures in Buenos Aires are expected to reach 30°C or higher on March 16.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 90% probability for temperatures exceeding 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 16. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with an 87% probability, indicating confidence in the forecast. However, the edge of -3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily leaning towards YES.
• 2 The probability from Pulse AI closely aligns with market expectations.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60, suggesting some uncertainty remains.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.