Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Buenos Aires reaching 31°C on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 31°C. The Pulse AI also indicates a low probability for YES at 1%, reinforcing the market's position. The edge of 0.95 implies that the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data may support the low probability of reaching 31°C.
• 3 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is unclear, which may affect market dynamics.
• 5 The high confidence score indicates strong alignment among market participants.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.