Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 32°C in Buenos Aires on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 32°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures, suggesting the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 32°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%, indicating strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is accurately reflecting the expected conditions.
• 4 Historical weather data for March in Buenos Aires may support the current predictions.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.