Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 33°C in Buenos Aires on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for a NO outcome, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 33°C. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher uncertainty, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 33°C.
• 2 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 3 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates a strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 4 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness to new information.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which could impact market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.