Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on March 21?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for temperatures in Buenos Aires on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 34°C. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is very low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1%.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 5 Confidence level is relatively high at 85 out of 100.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.