Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on March 27?

The market strongly predicts that Chengdu's temperature won't reach 16°C on March 27.

The current market probability indicates a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Chengdu will not be 16°C on March 27. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on the forecasted temperature. The confidence level of 85 out of 100 indicates a strong belief in this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is firmly against reaching 16°C.
• 2 The market appears to be fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong backing for the NO outcome.
• 4 The prediction is based on stable weather patterns observed historically.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.