Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on March 27?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Chengdu will not reach 17°C on March 27.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Chengdu will not reach 17°C on March 27, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a very low chance of the YES outcome. Overall confidence in this assessment is high at 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 17°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as expiry details are unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.