Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on March 27?

The prediction market indicates a high likelihood that Chengdu's temperature will not reach 19°C on March 27.

The market shows a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 19°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 99% probability to 'NO', indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment at 99% for 'NO'.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong belief in the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.