Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on March 27?

The market strongly predicts Chengdu's temperature will not reach 20°C on March 27.

The prediction market shows a definitive stance against the temperature reaching 20°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this with a 99% probability for 'NO', indicating a strong consensus among participants that the temperature will remain below this threshold.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against reaching 20°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 85 suggests strong belief in the prediction.
• 3 Current market probability aligns closely with Pulse AI's assessment.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.