Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 22°C in Chengdu on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Chengdu will not reach 22°C on March 27. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature reaching the specified threshold.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 22°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 80/100 suggests reliability in current predictions.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market to new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.