Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Chengdu on March 26.

With a market probability of 93.65% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 25°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a slight edge for the NO outcome, suggesting the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 25°C.
• 2 The market probability is consistent with Pulse AI predictions.
• 3 There is a low likelihood of significant temperature increases in the short term.
• 4 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential market shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.