Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Chengdu's temperature on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.45% for NO, the consensus indicates that the highest temperature in Chengdu is unlikely to reach 26°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, showing only a 2.05% chance for YES, suggesting a strong alignment between market sentiment and AI analysis.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to predictions.
• 5 Historical weather data for Chengdu may support the NO probability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.