Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or higher on March 26?

Chengdu's temperature is unlikely to reach 27°C on March 26 according to market data.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Chengdu will not reach 27°C, with a probability of 99.9% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty, suggesting a low likelihood of warmer temperatures in the near term.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Current probability suggests minimal chance of reaching 27°C.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.