Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on March 14?

Chicago's temperature is expected to exceed 31°F on March 14.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Chicago will be above 31°F on March 14, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 99% probability to the same outcome, suggesting a high level of confidence in the forecast.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief in temperatures above 31°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 No significant liquidity concerns noted in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding some uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.