Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 36°F in Chicago on March 16.

The prediction market shows a high probability (97.95%) that the highest temperature in Chicago will be below 36°F on March 16. With a confidence level of 65/100 and a time to expiry of just 4 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with no significant edge. Current weather forecasts and historical temperature data likely support this outlook.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 36°F.
• 2 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market.
• 4 Current weather forecasts align with market sentiment.
• 5 No edge detected, suggesting fair pricing in the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.