Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 39°F or below on March 11?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 39°F in Chicago on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.95% for temperatures exceeding 39°F, the consensus indicates a high likelihood of warmer weather. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal chance for temperatures to drop below the threshold. The confidence level of 80/100 further supports the reliability of these predictions.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures above 39°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong data backing predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Edge indicates market is fairly priced with minimal arbitrage opportunities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.