Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 28?

Chicago's temperature is expected to exceed 43°F on March 28.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Chicago will not be 43°F or below, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this with a 99% probability for 'NO', suggesting a high level of confidence in warmer weather expectations for that date.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 43°F.
• 2 High confidence level at 85/100 indicates reliable forecasting.
• 3 No liquidity concerns are evident in this prediction market.
• 4 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show warmer temperatures.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests stability in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.