Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 52°F in Chicago on March 12.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to remain below 52°F. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus that temperatures will not reach this threshold. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows extreme confidence in temperatures staying below 52°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher than market probability, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 Current sentiment reflects a strong belief in cooler weather for the date in question.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 5 No time pressure is indicated, allowing for potential shifts in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.