Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 59°F in Chicago on March 26.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of temperatures exceeding 59°F in Chicago on March 26, with a market probability of 99.45% for 'NO.' The Pulse AI also supports this outlook, suggesting a very low chance of cooler temperatures, although there is some market confidence reflected in the edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 59°F.
• 2 High confidence in the 'NO' outcome based on market data.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market predictions, indicating low likelihood of a cooler day.
• 4 Market edge suggests fair pricing with minimal arbitrage opportunities.
• 5 Time to expiry is immediate, heightening the urgency of weather updates.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.