Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 63°F in Chicago on March 22.

With a market probability of 98.85% for temperatures exceeding 63°F, the consensus is that it is unlikely to be cooler. The Pulse AI also indicates a similar outlook, suggesting a high confidence in warmer weather predictions for this date.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 63°F.
• 2 Market probability shows minimal chance for cooler temperatures.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 The edge of 0.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.