Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 68°F in Chicago on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.9% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 68°F. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures, suggesting that current forecasts or historical data support this outlook.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 68°F.
• 2 Current forecasts likely support the low temperature predictions.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Chicago shows cooler trends.
• 4 Market pricing indicates a fair valuation with minimal edge.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.