Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?

Market indicates a 68.5% chance of Chicago reaching 76°F on March 30.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards the temperature in Chicago being 76°F or higher on March 30, with a probability of 68.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this outlook, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 65.5%. With only 2 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a minimal edge.

• 1 Current market probability favors a warmer day in Chicago.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Market confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time pressure is high with only 2 hours until the event.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of -3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.