Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 82°F in Chicago on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.85% for NO, there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not reach 82°F. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating limited expectations for a temperature rise. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 82°F.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 6 hours remaining.
• 5 Edge suggests the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancies.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.