Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 14-15°F on March 17?

The market strongly predicts the temperature will not be between 14-15°F in Chicago on March 17.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Chicago will not fall between 14-15°F on March 17. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction, suggesting a very low likelihood of the event occurring. With a confidence level of 65/100, the market appears to be fairly priced with minimal expected volatility.

• 1 Market probability shows strong consensus against the temperature range.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, increasing urgency in decision-making.
• 5 Market appears to be efficiently priced with low edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.